V3.2 · Educational research

Beyond the pick.
Understand the price.

Current picks, a transparent research process, and results tracked by category.

Current week · America/Chicago

Week 8 · 2026-11-02 – 2026-11-08

Publication windows: college football Friday at 9 p.m. Central; NFL Saturday at 7 p.m. Central. Reports appear when documented research is available.

Upcoming picks have not been published yet

The next released college football and NFL reports will appear here. Completed selections are available on this week’s page.

This week’s full report & results

Top 5 research — proposed V3.3 format

Future NFL and college football candidates rank by documented model win probability where available. Unverified candidates remain unranked by probability, in supplied research order. V3.2 qualification thresholds remain unchanged. V3.3 is a proposed research framework.

No future Top 5 candidates published yet.

Each future Alternative requires individual Pokee adversarial review of contract, lineup/injuries, statistical evidence, opposing arguments, price/settlement and source freshness. PASS requires independent source retrieval and corroboration; evidence-packet conversation alone is INCONCLUSIVE. Unreviewed candidates cannot claim independent verification.

October 24–26 research results

College Football alternatives: 0–3 (0.0%). NFL Sunday alternatives: 2–1 (66.7%).

Weekend alternatives: 2–4 (33.3%)

Monday experimental candidates: 3–2 (60.0%) — separate from V3.2 alternatives.

Mixed-category descriptive total: 5–6 (45.5%) across 11 outcomes. This combines six weekend alternatives with five experimental Monday candidates, not verified V3.2 model performance.

All selections, outcomes and review notes

Understanding Our Picks

SYSTEM — Highest Model Qualification
Model Approved: YES. A fully validated selection with net probability edge ≥5.0 percentage points, reliability ≥0.75 and reliability-adjusted edge ≥3.75 percentage points. Mandatory Red Team, data-quality and market-execution checks must all pass.
TACTICAL — Qualified Model Opportunity
Model Approved: YES. A fully validated selection with net probability edge ≥4.0 percentage points, reliability ≥0.50 and reliability-adjusted edge ≥2.0 percentage points. All mandatory checks must pass, and the selection must not qualify as SYSTEM.
ALTERNATIVE — Next-Best Research Candidate
Model Approved: NO. A research-supported candidate that does not satisfy the full SYSTEM or TACTICAL requirements. Each candidate explains its interest and failed or incomplete approval checks. No verified positive edge is implied.

Reliability and reliability-adjusted edge are uncalibrated heuristics. Top 3 lists prioritize category and retain the original research order within each category. A PASS or unsupported idea is not automatically an ALTERNATIVE. Historical and indicative odds are labeled; unavailable values are not estimated.

Official V3.2 performance combines SYSTEM and TACTICAL only. ALTERNATIVE performance is separate and requires verified, timestamped selection and settlement records. Categories stay tied to original pregame records; an alternative cannot be promoted after its outcome is known.

Running pick statistics

SYSTEM · Model Approved: YES

0–0

No settled selections · n=0

Verified V3.2 SYSTEM results

TACTICAL · Model Approved: YES

0–0

No settled selections · n=0

Verified V3.2 TACTICAL results

ALTERNATIVE · Model Approved: NO

9–7

56.3% · n=16

Research outcomes, including retrospective selections

Official V3.2 record (SYSTEM + TACTICAL): 0–0 · n=0 · 0 pending. Alternatives are excluded.

Alternative record breakdown & category history

Documented published research: 4–5 (44.4%). Retrospective / in-game research: 5–2 (71.4%). Independently validated V3.2 alternatives: 0–0 · n=0.

Published research used indicative lines; Sunday NFL lines were marked Unavailable. These research grades do not verify executable prices or predictive advantage. Earlier model-influenced history is retained separately in the weekly archive.

WeekSYSTEM W–LTACTICAL W–LALTERNATIVE W–LAlternative sample n
Week 8 · 2026-11-020–00–00–00
Week 7 · 2026-10-260–00–00–00
Week 6 · 2026-10-190–00–05–510
Week 5 · 2026-10-120–00–04–26

How the picks are made

The framework studies independent forecasts alongside current information and market prices. Each selection is checked against defined qualification thresholds.

01

Collect & verify

Review team metrics, injuries, historical results and timestamped prices.

02

Forecast independently

Estimate outcome probabilities before comparing market prices.

03

Challenge the thesis

Use adversarial review to examine assumptions, conflicting evidence and missing data.

04

Evaluate the price

Account for the selected market, executable prices, fees, liquidity and slippage.

05

Classify the selection

SYSTEM and TACTICAL require all mandatory checks. ALTERNATIVES explain why approval was not achieved.

06

Preserve and measure

Keep original selections and timestamps; append results under the original classification.

Explore each week

Full pick explanations, original research and outcome records live on their weekly pages. Weeks run Monday–Sunday in Central time.

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