Weekly archive · America/Chicago

Week 6

2026-10-19 – 2026-10-25

Monday–Sunday · Original selections, classifications and publication records retained.

Week 6 scorecard

SYSTEM

0–0

No settled selections · n=0

Verified approved model picks

TACTICAL

0–0

No settled selections · n=0

Verified qualified model picks

ALTERNATIVE research

5–5

50.0% · n=10

Includes retrospective / in-game research

College football · Stage 1 editorial research

Saturday, October 24, 2026

SYSTEM: 0 · TACTICAL: 0 · ALTERNATIVE: 3

Stage 2: PENDING — game-day verification required.

Published . Editorial import recorded October 23, 2026 at 8:39 PM Central.

Top 3 Picks

SYSTEM: 0 · TACTICAL: 0 · ALTERNATIVE: 3

  1. Houston Cougars +7 at Utah Utes

    ALTERNATIVEModel Approved: NO

    Why we like it: Houston's improved passing offense and competitive season make it an interesting underdog against Utah. Seven points provides protection in a potential one-possession game.

    Why it didn’t qualify: 2 cover probability and reliability score. Utah's home advantage and Houston defensive injuries create additional uncertainty.

    Market & research details

    Houston Cougars at Utah Utes · Full-game point spread

    Market information: Indicative reference: Houston +7 (reported at BetMGM; other venues +6.5). Executable odds, exact-market source timestamp and current availability: UNVERIFIED. BetMGM (source-reported, not independently verified)

    Houston's improved passing offense and competitive season make it an interesting underdog against Utah. Seven points provides protection in a potential one-possession game.

    Missing validated V3.2 cover probability and reliability score. Utah's home advantage and Houston defensive injuries create additional uncertainty.

    Kickoff October 24, 2026 at 9:15 PM Central. Stage 2: PENDING. Confirm Houston's defensive availability and that the exact +7 market remains available. Injury and quarterback assertions are source-reported and remain unverified. Kickoff has passed; archived research only.

  2. Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines — Over 41.5

    ALTERNATIVEModel Approved: NO

    Why we like it: A low market total offers an interesting offensive-upside scenario if Michigan's quarterback change improves drive efficiency.

    Why it didn’t qualify: 2 total probability.

    Market & research details

    Indiana Hoosiers at Michigan Wolverines · Full-game total

    Market information: Indicative reference: Over 41.5 total points. Executable odds, exact-market source timestamp and current availability: UNVERIFIED. Venue not supplied.

    A low market total offers an interesting offensive-upside scenario if Michigan's quarterback change improves drive efficiency.

    Michigan's quarterback uncertainty, strong opposing defensive factors, conflicting outside analyses, and no validated V3.2 total probability.

    Kickoff October 24, 2026 at 11:00 AM Central. Stage 2: PENDING. Confirm Tommy Carr's starting status, final availability reports, weather and market total. Injury and quarterback assertions are source-reported and remain unverified. Kickoff has passed; archived research only.

  3. Tennessee Volunteers +2.5 at South Carolina Gamecocks

    ALTERNATIVEModel Approved: NO

    Why we like it: Tennessee's 6–1 record, comparatively stable Friday availability report, and South Carolina's absences create an interesting underdog research case.

    Why it didn’t qualify: 2 cover probability or validated positive edge. South Carolina's home advantage and matchup uncertainty remain material.

    Market & research details

    Tennessee Volunteers at South Carolina Gamecocks · Full-game point spread

    Market information: Indicative reference: Tennessee +2.5. Executable odds, exact-market source timestamp and current availability: UNVERIFIED. Venue not supplied.

    Tennessee's 6–1 record, comparatively stable Friday availability report, and South Carolina's absences create an interesting underdog research case.

    No calibrated V3.2 cover probability or validated positive edge. South Carolina's home advantage and matchup uncertainty remain material.

    Kickoff October 24, 2026 at 2:30 PM Central. Stage 2: PENDING. Verify Saturday's official SEC availability report, quarterback status and exact spread. Injury and quarterback assertions are source-reported and remain unverified. Kickoff has passed; archived research only.

College Football results — October 24

ALTERNATIVE · Model Approved: NO. Original October 23 editorial selections retained.

Houston +7 at Utah — LOSS

2026-10-24 · Utah 21, Houston 13

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: -1 points.

Official score source

Tennessee +2.5 at South Carolina — LOSS

2026-10-24 · South Carolina 27, Tennessee 24

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: -0.5 points.

Official score source

Indiana–Michigan OVER 41.5 — LOSS

2026-10-24 · Indiana 13, Michigan 6 (OT)

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: -22.5 points.

Official score source

All three selections are educational research candidates, not model-approved opportunities. A demonstrated positive probability edge or expected value has not been established.

Sources & remaining checks

Official team pages support fixture identity and kickoff only. The supplied research references do not establish current exact-market availability or completed injury, weather and starting-quarterback checks.

Houston Cougars +7 at Utah Utes

Official fixture source · Retrieved October 23, 2026 at 8:39 PM Central

Supplied references: SportsLine odds; CBS Sports matchup preview; Houston Chronicle injury coverage.

Stage 2 required: Confirm Houston's defensive availability and that the exact +7 market remains available.

Indiana Hoosiers vs. Michigan Wolverines — Over 41.5

Official fixture source · Retrieved October 23, 2026 at 8:39 PM Central

Supplied references: NBC Sports matchup analysis; Inside the Hall availability preview; Covers odds and matchup analysis.

Stage 2 required: Confirm Tommy Carr's starting status, final availability reports, weather and market total.

Tennessee Volunteers +2.5 at South Carolina Gamecocks

Official fixture source · Retrieved October 23, 2026 at 8:39 PM Central

Supplied references: Rocky Top Insider Friday availability report; SEC availability reporting; CBS Sports betting board.

Stage 2 required: Verify Saturday's official SEC availability report, quarterback status and exact spread.

Full October 24 report · This week’s archive

NFL Sunday research results — October 25

ALTERNATIVE · Model Approved: NO. Original pregame publication records are unavailable; retrospective research scorecard.

Green Bay +3.5 at Detroit — WIN

2026-10-25 · Detroit 20, Green Bay 17

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: +0.5 points.

Official score source

Tampa Bay +3.5 at Carolina — WIN

2026-10-25 · Tampa Bay 43, Carolina 13

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: +33.5 points.

Official score source

Kansas City +3 at Seattle — LOSS

2026-10-25 · Seattle 20, Kansas City 3

Model Approved: NO · Pokee independent verification: INCONCLUSIVE

Settlement margin against reference line: -14 points.

Official score source

Kalshi references: NO — Detroit wins by over 3.5 (WIN); NO — Carolina wins by over 3.5 (WIN); separately, NO — Seattle wins by over 2.5 (LOSS). Kansas City +3 remains the original research spread; the distinct 2.5 contract is not substituted. These are score-based reference outcomes, not venue-confirmed contract settlements. The proposed three-leg combination failed. No purchase is inferred.

2026-10-19 · Retrospective / in-game research

Monday Night Football · 2–0

Washington Commanders at San Francisco 49ers · San Francisco 23, Washington 17 · Official final score

Pregame publication is unverified. These research outcomes are excluded from verified pregame performance.

Under 51.5 Total Points — WIN

ALTERNATIVE | Model Approved: NO

Margin against original line: +11.5 points.

Why we liked it: Offensive injury concerns and the possibility of a lower-scoring game.

Why it didn’t qualify: No validated V3.2 probability or demonstrated statistical edge.

Washington Commanders +7.5 — WIN

ALTERNATIVE | Model Approved: NO

Margin against original line: +1.5 points.

Why we liked it: San Francisco’s defensive injuries and the larger point spread.

Why it didn’t qualify: No validated V3.2 cover probability or demonstrated statistical edge.

Original research and result timestamps

Owner supplied selections and explanations after the game. No pregame report or publication evidence located in site reports or source history. Original prices, contracts and forecast timestamps were not supplied.

Research record created 2026-10-21T22:18:07.539662+00:00. Original pregame publication: unavailable.

Under 51.5 Total Points · WIN · Recorded 2026-10-21T22:18:07.539662+00:00 · Version 1

Washington Commanders +7.5 · WIN · Recorded 2026-10-21T22:18:07.539662+00:00 · Version 1

2026-10-22 · Retrospective / in-game research

Thursday Night Football · 1–1

New England Patriots at Chicago Bears · Chicago Bears 30, New England Patriots 24 · Official final score

Pregame publication is unverified. These research outcomes are excluded from verified pregame performance.

Chicago Bears -2.5 — WIN

ALTERNATIVE | Model Approved: NO

Margin against original line: +3.5 points.

Why we liked it: Chicago’s defensive pass rush against New England’s injured offensive line.

Why it didn’t qualify: No validated V3.2 cover probability or demonstrated statistical edge.

Under 50.5 Total Points — LOSS

ALTERNATIVE | Model Approved: NO

Margin against original line: -3.5 points.

Why we liked it: Offensive-line injuries and Chicago’s running game suggested the potential for longer possessions and reduced scoring.

Why it didn’t qualify: No validated V3.2 total-points probability or demonstrated statistical edge.

Original research and result timestamps

Owner states both selections were discussed after kickoff. Exact discussion time, original market quotes and contracts were not supplied. No pregame publication is claimed.

Research record created 2026-10-23T12:04:20.975378+00:00. Original pregame publication: unavailable.

Chicago Bears -2.5 · WIN · Recorded 2026-10-23T12:04:20.975378+00:00 · Version 1

Under 50.5 Total Points · LOSS · Recorded 2026-10-23T12:04:20.975378+00:00 · Version 1

Browse other weeks